Flying Cars or Futile Fantasy? The Future of eVTOLs
What if your morning commute didn’t mean fighting through traffic, but instead lifting off above the streets, gliding quietly past congestion, and landing minutes later at your destination? That’s the promise of eVTOLs—electric vertical takeoff and landing aircraft—a technology that feels straight out of The Jetsons yet is edging closer to reality.
In the latest episode of Modem Futura, Andrew Maynard and I explore this emerging frontier of personal and urban mobility. From one-seat recreational flyers like the Jetson One to multi-passenger air taxis under development by companies like Joby and Archer, eVTOLs are being positioned as a transformative solution to congestion, emissions, and urban mobility. But as with every bold vision of the future, the story is more complex.
On the upside, eVTOLs hold real promise. They’re electric, meaning zero emissions at point of use. They could cut cross-town trips from hours to minutes. And they tap into decades of technological advances in drone stabilization, batteries, and sensors. Their potential for reshaping how we think about movement in cities—and even how we design those cities—is tantalizing.
Yet the risks and challenges are significant. Safety tops the list: what happens when experimental craft sharing city skies experience failure? Noise, privacy, and equity loom large as well. Who benefits when public infrastructure is built for vehicles that cost $100,000+? And what does it mean for the rest of society if only the wealthy soar above while others remain stuck below?
History reminds us that every major shift in transportation—from horse-drawn carriages to automobiles—has reshaped not just how we travel, but the very fabric of our communities. eVTOLs could do the same, but we must ask: are we building futures that benefit the few, or the many?
In our conversation, we balance fascination with skepticism. Could eVTOLs open doors to greener, more flexible mobility—or are they an expensive distraction from more equitable solutions like walkable cities, cycling infrastructure, and public transit? Perhaps, as with so many futures, the answer lies in imagination: using today’s innovations not simply to recreate cartoon fantasies, but to envision transportation that elevates all of us.
Special Acknowledgment
We'd like to acknowledge the partial funding support provided by the US Department of Transportation-sponsored Travel Behavior and Demand National University Transportation Center led by The University of Texas at Austin. The Center, of which Arizona State University is a consortium member,
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